About Daily Market
Who we are
We are a small team with more than 20 years of experience in the markets and more than 25 years in technology. We have traded indices, commodities, currencies and stocks through many market cycles, from long bull runs to crises, and we have built systems that work with large volumes of data every day.
What we want
We want every investor to understand, in a few minutes, what is happening in the world's major markets and why. No needless jargon, no promises of profit and no “miracle signals”. We believe an informed investor makes calmer decisions and manages risk better.
How we do it
Daily Market did not appear overnight. We started from what we wanted from a market report and tried many combinations of indicators, data sources and calculation methods. We dropped most of them because they did not stand the test of time. That is how we arrived at the Daily Market method.
- We read the options market, not just the chart. Most investors look only at price. We also analyse the options market, where the big players place their bets and their hedges: how much they pay for downside protection, where positions build up, what move is expected over the coming days and weeks. This data is professional, expensive and hard to interpret. Turning it into a few clear sentences every morning is not something just anyone can do.
- Our ranges are derived from option prices. When we write “70% chance that the price will be between A and B over the next 5 days”, the figure comes from what investors pay for options, corrected over almost 20 years of history. We checked it on periods the method had never “seen”: the ranges held as often as we said they would.
- Our own formula, built step by step. The report adds technical analysis, market sentiment, the economic calendar, company earnings and the day's news. What we combine and how much weight each element gets is the result of many attempts, adjustments and things we discarded.
- The same rules, every morning. The method is applied the same way to every market and every day, right after the US market close. We do not adjust the conclusions to suit ourselves.
- We also say what cannot be done. We do not promise to guess where the market goes tomorrow. We show how far it can move, where the important levels are and how the money is positioned, and the decision stays yours.
- We put our scenarios to the test, in public. The virtual 10,000 portfolio shows, position by position, how our ideas would have performed, with gains and with losses.
Our experience, the power of artificial intelligence
Behind Daily Market is a collaboration between our experience in the markets and a state-of-the-art artificial intelligence agent.
We defined what matters: what an experienced investor watches, what questions they ask before entering a position, what makes a report useful. The AI agent turned these requirements into mathematical and statistical calculations, tested every idea on almost 20 years of market history and kept only what passed the tests.
That is how these made it into the report:
- move probabilities, calculated from option prices and checked on years the method had never “seen”;
- the chances of reaching key levels, measured on each instrument's own history;
- the Fear & Greed index, which compares each market with its own past year;
- the Weekly View scenarios and the virtual portfolio, built on the same rules.
Every morning our system automatically applies the method to the day's data, the same way for every market, without emotion and without improvisation. The result is the report you read.
What we are not
Daily Market is not an investment adviser and does not provide personalised recommendations. The reports are for information and education. Trading decisions and their risks are yours.